七星彩行业 恩 tered 2019 overshadowed by concerns over shrinking demand for electronics goods in China, joined with tepid demand in the U.S. This was capped by 苹果’1月2日宣布其核心七星彩产品的2018年第四季度销售逊于预期。年初的这种不利因素，再加上美国政府的长期停工以及与中国的长期关税谈判，引起了许多企业的担忧。
These events have complicated matters for those looking for insights into what 2019 may hold and how to respond in the face of potentially greater near-term volatility. These early announcements sent the Dow Jones Industrial Average into a frenzy during which it fell more than 10% in the course of just a few weeks in December. This was in part because 苹果’的股份构成道琼斯工业公司近5％的股份 根据Factset的数据，它在纳斯达克100指数中拥有超过10％的股份。
七星彩行业—less Apple’s share—is expected to see inflation-adjusted revenue growth of 3.5% in 2019, combined with even stronger earnings growth. This is based on the actual and forecasted financial results of nearly 60 electronics industry firms generating $658 billion in revenues in the 12-month period 恩 ding with the third quarter of 2018. Including 苹果’的2018年第三季度预测推动行业发展’到2019年底，整体收入增长高达8.5％。从国内角度来看，该行业似乎将跟随整体经济发展’的成长；但是，在这一年中，与中国有更大业务往来的公司可能必须更加谨慎。
加德纳’服务于七星彩行业的美国制造商的专有数据在很大程度上反映了华尔街’s tepid 2019 outlook. The latest 加德纳 employment readings are above long-run averages, which suggests that firms are still optimistic about making investments in people and thus are optimistic for the longer-run. Simultaneously, production, new orders, backlogs and supplier deliveries at year-end 2018 were flat to slightly growing after a two-year period in which many of these measures set record highs. Despite a toughening trade 恩 vironment in 2018, 加德纳’的出口数据在2018年下半年没有收缩，尽管该数据表明到12月总体出口增速有所放缓。
Lastly, 加德纳’的数据表明，较小的公司（20名员工或更少） 与拥有100多名员工的大型同行相比，2018年第四季度经历了更具挑战性的经济状况。这加强了人们的共识，即较小的公司在通过更具挑战性的业务条件进行操作时通常选择较少，因此对经济变化更加敏感。
关于作者： Michael Guckes 是...的首席经济学家 加德纳 商业 情报, a division of 加德纳 商业 媒体, Cincinnati. He has performed economic analysis, modeling and forecasting work for nearly 20 years among a wide range of industries. Michael received his BA in political science and economics from Kenyon College and his MBA from The Ohio State University. [email protected].